How to interpret the land-slide victory of Prime Minister Koizumi


One week before the general election, I had a chance to talk with a foreign diplomat about the forecast of the outcome of the election. At the time, major newspapers reported the results of opinion palls, which commonly predicted the victory of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) over the opposition parties. The most optimistic forecast for the LDP was that the party would gain about 300 seats. I explained my own forecast to him, which was not based on any kind of polls, but just based on my journalist instinct. I said to him, The last few days are very important for the election. If the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) could show eye-catching policies, there would be still a chance for them to win the election. Then we made a bet on the outcome of the election. If I lose it, I will invite him for dinner この投稿の続きを読む »

Japan-China Relations at the Crossroads (Part I): Why do Japanese nationalists hate China?


Prime Minister Jun-Ichiro Koizumi is a kind of hero of Japanese nationalists because he went to Yasukuni Shrine for consoling the war dead even though he carefully avoided visiting there on August 15, the day when Japan officially surrendered to the Allied Power. On one hand, he has kept the election pledge to the Japan War Bereaved Association, one of the biggest political interest groups, to pay a formal visit to Yasukuni Shrine against criticism both within and outside Japan, but, on the other hand, he has half-broke his pledge because he did not go there on August 15. He did not make clear his status, official or private, when visiting Yasukuni Shrine. It might be his political calculation or compromise. この投稿の続きを読む »

Japan’s September 11: A turning point of Japan?


September 11 is the day of voting of the general election in Japan. Japan’s September 11€ will become certainly the day of reckoning which shows a turning point of the Japanese politics in the post-war period as well as the Japanese society. Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi dissolved the Lower House because his proposal of the privatization of the postal system, which is his only pet policy issue, was voted down at the Upper House. Even though many people said that there is no reason for him to dissolve the Lower House because the Lower House passed the legislation, he decided to ask for a kind of referendum about the legislation of the privatization of the postal system by dissolving the Lower House. この投稿の続きを読む »



Nakaoka, nozomu

  • Freelance journalist
  • Part-time lecturer of International Christian University in Tokyo (teaching the courses of Japanese Economy, Japanese Business Management and American Studies)
  • Former Senior Editor of Weekly Toyo Keizai (the oldest weekly business magazine)
  • Former Editor-in-Chief of Japan Company Handbook
  • 1981 to 1982 Fulbright Journalist
  • 1981 to 1982 Visiting Fellow of John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University
  • 1993 Jefferson Fellow, East-West Center in Hawaii
  • 2002 to 2003 Visiting Scholar of Washington University in St. Louis


  • Author: American Conservative Revolution (Chuo-koron in Tokyo, 2004)
  • Co-author: Objection to Japan (Kanki Shuppan in Tokyo, 1997)
  • Editing and Translation: Trap of the Depression by Paul Krugman (Original edition is Japanese and published by Chuo-koron 2001)
  • Editing and Translation: Bankruptcy of Super Power by Stephen Roach (Original edition is published by Chuo-koron, 2003)
  • Translation: Minding of America by Robert Reich (Japanese edition by Toyo Keizai Shinposha, 1984)
  • Translation: Japanese National Railway by Hiroyuki Kasai (Global Oriental in the UK , 2002)
  • Contributed many articles to Chuo Koron, Shokun, JIJI Press World Affairs Weekly (they are leading magazines in Japan), USA Today, World Times and others